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Data for Business: Inflation Continues to Cool, CPI at 2.8% in February

Data for Business: Inflation Continues to Cool, CPI at 2.8% in February

Data for Business: Inflation Continues to Cool, CPI at 2.8% in February

'Data For Business' is an effort of the Langley Chamber, in partnership with the Canadian Chamber, to bring our members reports, stats and analysis on economic and business data to help inform business and investment decisions.  Read our latest update below: 

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.8% on a year-over-year basis in February, down from a 2.9% gain in January.  This was lower than expected by the Bank of Canada, positive news that cooling inflation is taking hold.   In BC, the trend held with the inflation rate softening from 3.0% in January to 2.6% in February. 

Two months of slower price growth is surely welcome news to the Bank of Canada, despite stubborn shelter costs and volatile gasoline prices keeping headline inflation higher. CPI excluding food and energy grew 2.8%. Headline inflation moved closer within the Bank of Canada’s target range of 1-3%. On a monthly basis, the unadjusted CPI grew 0.3%. The Bank of Canada’s core measures of underlying inflation grew 3.2% year-over-year, down from 3.4% in January. The 3-month change annualized is running at a pace of 2.2%.

















CPI Components

  • Shelter prices remain high in February, growing 6.5% and continuing its reacceleration, primarily driven by rent once again growing (+8.2%).
  • Gasoline prices were up 0.8% on a yearly basis after a decline in January. Prices are on the upswing, with monthly prices growing 4% m/m.
  • Goods inflation slowed in February, growing 1.2%, which has remained subdued for many months. Services inflation is much higher and grew 4.2% in February, holding from the same growth rate in January.
  • Food prices made further progress in February, declining to 3.3% in February. Grocery prices decelerated to 2.4% growth, from 3.4% in January. This was the first time since October 2021 where grocery prices have undershot headline inflation. Restaurant food prices remain elevated, growing 5.1% in February, at a similar pace to last month.
  • Odds and ends: Clothing and footwear was down 4.2% and household operations declined 1.7%, driven primarily by lower cell phone plan prices (-26.5%).
Commentary

"It’s great to see headline inflation move further within the target range, and core inflation continuing its downward trend. We could see that the market was expecting a slightly higher inflation print, due to gasoline prices rising in February, but grocery store prices have slowed, and short-run core momentum measures are tracking around two percent. That’s going to be welcome news for households. Governor Macklem will also take this as good news – and a signal that our current holding pattern is working. But we shouldn’t expect any moves from the Bank until June. With two more inflation updates, updated surveys on expectations, and a Federal budget, the Bank will want to see the data and build a case for any changes before they present anything to Canadians. "

- Andrew DiCapua, Senior Economist, Canadian Chamber of Commerce


For full information, see the Statistics Canada report >